Warren Price we hardly knew you

I interrupt my cross-country motorcycle trip to bring you this update: Dayton can’t have two strong personalities in charge.

The exiting of Warren Price barely 9 months into his job as Nan’s bitch boy is reminiscent of the short stay of the last “change agent” city manager we hired- Bill Estabrook.

Estabrook came to town with great fanfare as Mike Turner’s man for the job, but when he actually tried to lead the city as a City Manager, stealing the limelight from Turner, he had to go.

Rule number one for any incoming city manager from outside the market, when in public, make extra sure the puppet strings are clearly showing. Start every sentence about anything positive with “Thanks to the Mayor and Commission, Dayton is…”

Last time this hit the fan, an internal candidate who had been passed over was put in charge as an interim, until they found Valerie Lemmie. The Lemmie/Turner team managed to dance the dance better than any we’ve ever seen.

Look for recently returned airport director Terrence Slaybaugh to step in. If it weren’t for the fact that he’s done such a good job at the airport, the only stumbling block is if he refuses to accept the term “interim.”

Shelley Dickstein would take the “interim” title in a heartbeat, but, it’s doubtful that she’ll be anointed. Stan Earley has been interim before, and could also be the interim, but, he’s been passed over more times than Manziel throws interceptions.

The reality is, the mayor wants the job. The only thing stopping her is that the party or the commission doesn’t get to name a replacement- the voters do. It’s too late to add a candidate to the upcoming election, meaning a “special election” would be needed. One thing’s for sure, if they choose Nan to step in, Gary Leitzel wouldn’t run for mayor- despite being the best qualified- because the idea of working with Nan would be his worst nightmare.

I don’t know what’s more entertaining in politics these days- the clown posse Republican presidential field- or the “leadership” of Dayton.

I’m getting back on my motorcycle and trying to forget about this latest three-ring circus.

Can’t we just have an election without political party interference in Dayton?

It came today. I’m not sure why. I almost didn’t want to write about it, to give it more credit than it’s due, but there it was- an unsigned glossy printed postcard smearing local attorney Richard Skelton for possibly running  as an REP against DEM Judge Frances McGee Cromartie. Note, the filing deadline isn’t until Feb 5- and neither candidate has filed. The email was upset that Skelton voted D in 3 out of the last 4 elections, and was running as an R so as not to tick off the local Dems. Please Dick- tick them off. And, you have my vote and support. (McGee is the daughter of former Mayor James H McGee).

But- that’s not stopping the Montgomery County Democratic Party from holding their endorsement meeting tomorrow night (Jan 23rd, 2014).  With the filing deadline now 90 days before a primary instead of 60, and this being a primary in May- where ostensibly the party at large is supposed to decide who is to advance, I’m not sure why the Dems think they need to screen and endorse, other than to scare people away from running.

According to the BOE candidates list- from people who have taken out petitions- there are only a few contested races:

10th Congresional District
U.S. Representative Lib David A. Harlow 2243 Keenan Ave. Dayton 45414
U.S. Representative Dem Robert P. Klepinger 2483 Division Ave. Dayton 45414
U.S. Representative Dem Thomas F. McMasters 6934 Sylmar Ct. Huber Heights 45424
U.S. Representative Rep Michael R. Turner (incumbent) 109 N. Main St. Dayton 45402

Note- you don’t see my name running, because I need to concentrate on my business and my plan to start a summer basketball program all over Dayton this summer. Tom McMasters was just elected mayor of Huber Heights, so I’m not sure what his intentions are other than making sure people don’t have to vote for Turner. He came in 4th behind me, Olivia Freeman and Sharen Neuhardt last time.

Harlow also ran 2 years ago- and was a train wreck on the campaign trail.

5th State Senate District
State Senator Dem Dolores A Gillis 546 Michael Pl. Tipp City 45371
State Senator Dem Joseph E. Lacey 207 E. 6th St. Apt. 305 Dayton 45402

Lacey was just elected to another term on the Dayton School Board in a virtually uncontested race (1 write in vs. 4 on the ballot for 4 seats).

39th State House District
State Representative Dem William James Pace 1325 Salem Ave. Dayton 45406
State Representative Dem Fred Strahorn (incumbent) 531 Belmonte Park North Apt. 1001 Dayton

Pace is a founding member of the Independent movement in Dayton- see www.independentdayton.com

Strahorn was appointed to finish the term of Clayton Luckie who is in prison for playing fast and loose with campaign money. He was then elected. He had served previously as State Senator in OH-5 losing to Bill Beagle in a very expensive race in 2010. Before that he had termed out of a house seat.

Montgomery County
Auditor Rep Harry Bossey 128 Edinburch Village Dr. Centerville 45458
Auditor Dem Karl L. Keith (Incumbent) 221 Watervliet Ave. Dayton 45420
Auditor Rep Scott A. Kramer 920 New England Ave. Kettering 45429

The complete 3-page document with people who have taken out petitions is here: Montgomery County BOE Candidate Report

If you’ve been following my latest exposé on the BOE and the Dem party central committee, you know all about how we’ve got the friends and family plan interfering with the democratic process and free, open and honest elections in Montgomery County. Please consider running to be a Dem precinct captain (it only takes 5-10 signatures) and help put a stop to this anti-democratic process. See this post for details: http://esrati.com/monarchy_of_montgomery_county_boe_central_committees/10740/

There is one candidate bucking the system in the next election- former Dayton Mayor Gary Leitzell, who is running for County Commission as an independent. Instead of needing just 50 signatures to get on the ballot, he’s required to get over 1,800 (plus another 800 insurance signatures to be safe) to run. He doesn’t have to turn them in until much later- since he has no primary. Good luck to Gary.

 

 

 

The Montgomery County Democratic party screening committee picks losers

Tonight I screen with the Montgomery County Democratic Party screening committee- the “inner circle” of the private club that believes it’s in their best interest to pick candidates in primaries. The Greene County party, refuses to endorse in primaries- understanding that a primary is exactly that: a chance for the party’s voters to make a choice. The Montgomery County Dems could easily endorse every candidate who screens in the Dayton City Commission race who is a Democrat, and hope that the primary knocks out Republican candidates, but, that wouldn’t be their style.

They like to pick people like Clayton Luckie (convicted yesterday of a host of felonies related to theft in office, as a sitting Ohio State representative) who are part of the “Monarchy of Montgomery County” that keeps the patronage/favoritism operation going in political offices across the county.

In my last race, the party endorsed Sharen Neuhardt to run against Mike Turner. They believed her “fundraising abilities” would give them a chance to take on Mike Turner. Of course, people who raise a lot of money then spend it hiring their friends to work on campaigns, and buy printing from “union shops” (a farce today in the printing industry) and still lose thanks to gerrymandering and a total incompetence of the local parties at real voter activation (the Obama campaign doesn’t use the local data or network of workers to run their campaign- which was successful).

Take a look at the numbers and weep:

Michael R. Turner (R) * Winner (60% of vote) 208,201 ($5.16 per vote)

  • Raised: $1,222,129
  • Spent: $1,073,860
  • Cash on Hand: $287,565

Last Report: November 26, 2012

Individual contributions

  • Small Contributions $32,139 (3%)
  • Large Contributions $748,160 (61%)
  • PAC contributions $441,115 (36%)
  • Candidate self-financing $0 (0%)
  • Other $715 (0%)

Sharen Neuhardt (D) (37% of vote) 131,097 ($4.36 per vote)

  • Raised: $571,531
  • Spent: $571,063
  • Cash on Hand: $4,058

Last Report: November 26, 2012

Individual contributions

  • Small Contributions $66,363 (12%)
  • Large Contributions $398,123 (70%)
  • PAC contributions $79,451 (14%)
  • Candidate self-financing $22,674 (4%)
  • Other $4,921 (1%)

via Congressional Elections: Ohio District 10 Race: 2012 Cycle | OpenSecrets.

For comparison, in the non-presidential year 2010, the very lame Democratic candidate, Joe Roberts, a 25-year-old Democratic party pogue, received 31% of the vote raising $7,322 and “spending” $6,170 ( I have spending in quotes because he skipped out of town on his campaign office rent- owing a single mother who owned the property several thousand dollars). For Sharen Neuhardt, who put almost 3x her own money in than Joe Roberts spent in total and still only getting 6% more of the vote in a much easier district to campaign in, is criminal. This wasn’t Sharen’s first rodeo, she had her inaugural 2008 debacle against Steve Austria where she was running for an open seat and spent $838,992 to get 42% (113,099 or $7.422 per vote) of the vote.

I’ll post my answers to the Screening Committee questions like I have in the past. But, at some point, it sure would be nice to:

  • run in a race that was measured by the quality of your ideas, instead of your ability to waste money on campaign trash.
  • have a political party that cares more about winning seats than seating friends and family
  • be elected by voters who are well informed, having resources to properly educate themselves on the issues and the candidates.

Until then- we’ll continue to have the best politicians money can buy.

And- as a side note, another one of campaign ads has won an ADDY award from the American Advertising Federation. Last year, my foreclosure spot won a silver and this year the panhandling campaign won (I won’t know what level Gold, Silver, Bronze till mid-February).


The Turner v Neuhardt “debate”

Recap: Neuhardt will raise taxes on the richest 2% and set their tax rate to what it was when Bill Clinton was president.

Turner says Neuhardt will raise taxes so government can keep spending more.

Nothing else was said.

Neuhardt wanted 3 questions answered by Turner- in both her opening and closing statements, but never inserted them into the “debate.” She mentioned the no-bid contract to his wife in the open- and forgot about it. She made the unfounded claim that Turner wants to cripple WPAFB with sequestration because of his unwillingness to raise taxes on the top 2%. She wanted to know why should Turner be reelected to Congress and lastly, She wanted to know why he spent over $200K of his campaign money on legal defense- yet, despite being a lawyer, seemed unprepared to answer the question.

Good lawyers always know the answer to the questions they ask.

At no point did she bring up any substantive ideas for how to change business as usual in Congress. She heard lots of ideas when she was facing 5 candidates (including me) in the primary- and yet, all she could do is regurgitate the standard party lines.

When Turner talked about his having the support of named Democrats- the Mayors of Miamisburg and Huber Heights- she couldn’t come back with a name of a single “republican business leader” she claimed to have discussed Turner’s performance with.

Turner has questions to answer- Neuhardt can’t ask them. Turner makes the argument that Neuhardt is untested, unknown, that she hasn’t served in office, on non-profits, local leadership. He’s right.

When he talked about Congress picking winners and losers with the bail outs- she could have come right back with the pickings of winners and losers like the development she now works in- Austin Landing, something Turner crows about as part of his Congressional pork he’s brought to town at great expense to Downtown Dayton- where Sharen used to work.

This was the first time Sharen had even seen Turner, since he feels no need to go to local candidates nights. She barely knew the man. If this is the best that the Democratic party can come up with, there will be no surprise when Turner wins with 60+% of the vote on November 6.

And, just maybe, if she’d said more than “my daddy was a Dayton Police officer, I went to Fairview, I’m a lawyer and I own a farm in Yellow Springs” while she was on the campaign trail- she wouldn’t have wasted 20 seconds of every answer with “uhs’ and “ums” and looking at notecards. This stuff should have been easy. Turner is a millionaire thanks to his pay-to-play positions in Congress and needs to be exposed and prosecuted to the fullest extent of the law.

It’s time to demand better from the local Democratic party. We can’t continue to send lambs to the slaughter.

(and btw- the video is on WHIOTV site- but, the link, may or may not work: http://shar.es/cs9jO )

Sharen Neuhardt’s stealth campaign faultering

She barely had signs out in the primary. Voters don’t know her. She refuses to take a stand on anything- except saying she still supports boondoggle military programs like the unwanted C27-J and the M1 tank updates that the Air Force and the Army don’t want, it’s no wonder that the DNC pulled money from her campaign to assign to candidates who are actually running a race:

National Democratic panel pulls some Neuhardt ads

The Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee has pulled back at least a week of advertising it had planned to run in support of Yellow Springs lawyer Sharen Neuhardt in her bid against Rep. Mike Turner, R-Centerville.

via D.C. Dispatches | The Columbus Dispatch.

Her site only has her appearing at a few events before election day and the first ad of the campaign is focused on her- not on the voters-

Her only claim is that she’ll stop tax breaks for companies that outsource- an odd claim, since in her professional role as a corporate attorney, she represents companies that do just that.

Take a look at her campaign site: http://www.neuhardtforcongress.com/ see if you find anything compelling to give you a reason to vote for her. The juvenile references to sitting congressman Mike Turner as “Mike “who” Turner” show that she not only severely underestimates her opponent, but lacks respect for the office.

Considering she’s raised more than Turner, she’s still behind (she was carrying almost $100k in debt from her last run)

One of the few exceptions was in Ohio’s newly drawn 10th district, where Democrat Sharen Neuhardt, a Yellow Springs attorney, raised more than twice what U.S. Rep. Mike Turner did during the first quarter of 2012. She raised $224,903 to Turner’s $111,950. The district includes all of Montgomery and Greene counties and part of Fayette County.

But Turner still has an overall financial advantage — as of March 31, he had more than twice what Neuhardt had in the bank — $421,953 to her $186,709.

Turner’s campaign has raised $701,121 to date this election, and has $6,996 in debt. Neuhardt, who ran against Rep. Steve Austria, R-Beavercreek in 2008, meanwhile, had $92,000 in debt.

via Incumbents winning in fundraising | www.springfieldnewssun.com.

Even with the redistricting that makes OH-10 more competitive, the only chance of anyone beating Turner would require a massive, well organized ground game, hard hitting attacks on Turner, and a message- or for Turner to do an Anthony Wiener. Counting on Obama’s coattails  isn’t going to do it- in 2008, I remember seeing Turner signs right next to Obama signs in the area showing how ineffective 5 different campaigns have been in challenging the urban myth that Turner is a some sort of progressive urbanist when in fact he’s a neo-con puppet.

If Neuhardt wants more than the 43% of the vote I predict she’ll get at best, she better take the gloves off, and start wearing through some serious shoe leather- while praying for Turner to get indicted for something like his wife’s former slush fund false front marketing firm that took no-bid contracts for “marketing campaigns” from the regions lobbyists or did work on a GSA schedule for the Army Corps of Engineers while her husband was on the armed services committee.